August 2025 Market Commentary

This earnings season (Q2) is still very young, but beat rates in both revenue and profits are well above average. Yet share-price reactions to earnings reports may be suggesting that the good news is already priced in – at least in the short-term. We are seeing quite...

July 2025 Market Commentary

Since the stock market’s 18.9% pullback during the tariff-tantrum in early April, it has had one of the fastest rebounds on record. The S&P 500 is up more than 10% in Q2 (which includes ugly April).  The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is up about 18% and semis are up more...

June 2025 Market Commentary

Investor sentiment soared in May along with stock prices.  According to a recent AAII survey, the percentage of bullish respondents rose to 37.7% versus 20.9% at the start of May.  Bears dropped from nearly 60% at the start of the month down to 36.7%.  These are big...

May 2025 Market Commentary

Earnings season has been strong. The results could have sparked more bearishness, but instead have generally been a sigh of relief.  Of the companies that have reported so far, an above-average 73% beat earnings estimates, and 63% beat sales estimates.  In terms of...