July 2024 Market Commentary

This week marks the beginning of earnings season for the second quarter.   S&P 500 companies are expected to report a fourth straight quarter of growth, with profits forecast to rise 8.8% over last year’s second quarter (source:  FactSet). The top 10 companies in...

June 2024 Mid-Month Recap

We got a favorable CPI print for May last week. Core CPI decelerated to the slowest monthly pace in almost three years.  Core CPI ex-rent dropped month-over-month and is now below a 1% annual rate of change on both a three month and 12 month basis.  This was arguably...

June 2024 Market Commentary

In the week leading up to Memorial Day weekend, the S&P 500 traded higher 23 out of the prior 30 weeks. There have only been a handful of other periods since WWII where the index had as many positive weeks in a 30-week span. Is the market exhausted after this...

May 2024 Mid-Month Recap

Barron’s Big Money Poll is a must read for us. Large institutional money managers are an important source of demand for equity shares.  So the poll gives us insight into what a key group of investors are thinking and doing.  They make up part of Wall Street’s...

May 2024 Market Commentary

Early in April, higher interest rates drove share prices roughly 5% lower up until the 2.8% gain in the S&P 500 last week. Yields were not the driver last week.  Instead, it is another narrative, specifically artificial intelligence, that pushed the market higher...