March 2022 Market Commentary

  Even though the market rebound last week was coincident with the Russian invasion (possibly signaling the bad news was fully discounted), we don’t think the coast is clear, and more volatility may be with us in the short term. Investors have at least three major...

Inflation’s Real Culprit

The sharp drop in share prices last Friday was attributed to the expected invasion of Ukraine by Russia. Although that prospect is a disturbing geopolitical event, any U.S. stock market reaction is likely to be limited and short-lived.  The U.S. stock market typically...

Late January Rally Eases Slide

  We are almost halfway through earnings season.  Earnings announcements are always important but maybe more so this quarter due to investors’ eagerness to see how inflation, including wage growth, is affecting companies’ bottom lines and outlooks for 2022.    So far,...

When Will Tech Stocks Bottom?

The S&P 500 may be only 5% below its all-time high (the NASDAQ, 10%), but the average stock is doing much worse. For example, the average stock in the Russell 3000 (a broader index than the S&P 500 that includes mid and small caps) is down 27% from its high,...

January 2022 Market Commentary

  There were a record number of new issues in 2021, but only 22% of IPOs were profitable. Yet people still pour money into them.  Investors hope to find the next Apple, Microsoft, or Tesla, but the odds are stacked against them.  Especially since few investors can buy...