June 2022 Market Commentary

  FOOLS RUSH IN?  OR A MARKET BOTTOM? There is no way to know yet if the recent rally in stocks marks a turning point for the market.  Was it “smart money” buying or a “fools rush in” kind of rally?  We will not let a market bounce blind us to the underlying...

May 2022 Mid-Month Recap

This year is the worst bond market we have seen in 30 years.  And April was the worst month ever for bonds.  60/40 balanced investors could be down double digits YTD (based on common benchmarks) unless they have strategically positioned themselves to avoid some of the...

May 2022 Market Commentary

The stock market is off to an awful start this year.  With a YTD decline of over 13% through April, the S&P 500 is off to its third worst start since WWII, and the NASDAQ has never had a weaker start over four months.  So one would expect investor sentiment to be...

April 2022 Market Commentary

Despite year-to-date losses for stocks, the estimated earnings of the S&P 500 companies for the next 12 months have continued to climb as shown below:   NO LETUP IN FORWARD EPS ESTIMATES Source:  Bespoke Investment Group This divergence between the trend in...

March 2022 Mid-Month Recap

Not long after Vladimir Lenin returned from exile in Switzerland to lead the Russian revolution in 1917, he was credited with saying, “There are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen.”  The current Russia-Ukraine war isn’t even three...