August 2023 Mid-Month Recap

The Q2 earnings season is about over. The big story has been the selling we have seen of stocks after they report.  The average stock has fallen 0.71% on its earnings reaction day, the worst in 10 years. The reports themselves were quite good.  Entering earnings...

July 2023 Mid-Month Recap

The June CPI (consumer price index) was released last Wednesday. The readings came in at 0.2% month-over-month for both headline and core.  We tend to focus more on the headline number that includes food and energy, two important components of consumer spending.  On a...

June 2023 Mid-Month Recap

This morning the headline CPI was released at 0.1% for the month of May, and 4% year-over-year.  Inflation is coming down as fast as it went up.  The pace of increase in year-over-year inflation has now declined for eleven straight months.  But because monthly ‘core’...

May 2023 Mid-Month Recap

Stocks remain in no man’s land, with neither side making much progress. This probably helps to explain why the market doesn’t feel much like a bull or bear.  From a technical perspective, we are still in a bear market but remain in a tight trading range.  The S&P...

March 2023 Mid-Month Recap

BANK FAILURES… MORE TO COME? The “higher for longer” narrative was erased last week in the blink of an eye with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).  Systemic risk to the financial system is one thing that will stop the Federal Reserve’s current rate hike...

February 2023 Mid-Month Recap

2023’S DASH FOR TRASH The market has turned upside down in early 2023.  This year has been about huge gains in stocks that got destroyed in 2022.  The stocks that were down the most last year are some of this year’s best performers.  For example, busted IPOs, SPACs,...